UK
Open for trading
Will 20 or more Labour MPs rebel on the Autumn Budget?
68¢
Yes
No
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
32¢ | +6¢ | |
|
No
|
68¢ | -6¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if at least 20 Labour MPs vote against the government on any division of the Autumn Budget bill — including the second reading or a substantive amendment — before 15 December 2026. Abstentions do not count. Tellers' lists published in Hansard are the resolution source.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 15 Dec 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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