Russia–Ukraine
4 markets · prices shown as implied probability
Russia–Ukraine
$9.9M vol
When will the war between Russia and Ukraine end?
- Not before 2028 97%
- December 2026 67%
- Jul – Dec 2027 27%
- +3 more outcomes
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
Russia–Ukraine
$4.2M vol
Will a full front-line ceasefire be in force by 31 January 2027?
55%
Yes
+32¢
24h
Closes 31 Jan 2027
Trade
Russia–Ukraine
$2.3M vol
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace treaty in 2027?
23%
Yes
-4¢
24h
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
Russia–Ukraine
$908.6K vol
Will the Oleshky humanitarian corridor still be operating on 30 November 2026?
96%
Yes
+38¢
24h
Closes 30 Nov 2026
Trade
How Torus works
Three steps between a hunch and a position.
01
Every price is a probability
A market at 62¢ means the crowd gives the outcome a 62% chance. Buy at 40¢ and you profit 60¢ a share if it happens.
02
Buy yes or buy no
Pick an outcome, choose a side, and size your position. The order book moves with every trade, just like a real exchange.
03
Cash out before settlement
Prices move as news breaks. Sell your position back to the market whenever you like — or hold to resolution.
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