Elections
6 outcomes Open for trading
How many Senate seats will Democrats net gain?
53¢
Leading outcome
+4 seats
Outcomes
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
0 or fewer
No net gain |
28¢ | +7¢ | |
|
+1 seat
|
49¢ | +30¢ | |
|
+2 seats
|
19¢ | 0¢ | |
|
+3 seats
|
27¢ | +12¢ | |
|
+4 seats
|
53¢ | +41¢ | |
|
+5 or more
Wave |
4¢ | -8¢ |
Market rules
Resolves to the net change in Democratic Senate seats compared with the 119th Congress, once all races are called or recounted. Independents who caucus with the Democrats count as Democratic seats. If a race is still undecided at the certification deadline, the market resolves on the certified count.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 30 Nov 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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