Middle East
4 markets · prices shown as implied probability
Middle East
$7.4M vol
When will the war between Iran and the USA end?
- Jan – Mar 2027 96%
- Ceasefire by 30 Nov 2026 78%
- December 2026 73%
- +3 more outcomes
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
Middle East
$2.9M vol
Will the US and Iran sign a permanent peace agreement in 2026?
13%
Yes
+3¢
24h
Closes 31 Dec 2026
Trade
Middle East
$2M vol
Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed for 7 or more consecutive days before 2027?
26%
Yes
+4¢
24h
Closes 31 Dec 2026
Trade
Middle East
$1.7M vol
Will Brent crude close above $120 before 2027?
3%
Yes
-17¢
24h
Closes 31 Dec 2026
Trade
How Torus works
Three steps between a hunch and a position.
01
Every price is a probability
A market at 62¢ means the crowd gives the outcome a 62% chance. Buy at 40¢ and you profit 60¢ a share if it happens.
02
Buy yes or buy no
Pick an outcome, choose a side, and size your position. The order book moves with every trade, just like a real exchange.
03
Cash out before settlement
Prices move as news breaks. Sell your position back to the market whenever you like — or hold to resolution.
Latest trades
When will the war between Iran and the USA end?
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How many Senate seats will Democrats net gain?
Will 20 or more Labour MPs rebel on the Autumn Budget?
Will a full front-line ceasefire be in force by 31 January 20…
Will Brent crude close above $120 before 2027?
Will the Democrats win the House by 20 or more seats?