When will the war between Iran and the USA end?

Market rules

This market resolves to the bucket in which the United States and Iran enter a formal ceasefire or armistice that holds for at least 14 consecutive days with no major offensive operations by either side. A humanitarian pause or a unilateral pause that collapses inside 14 days does not count. A renewed war after a ceasefire does not un-resolve the market: the date of the first qualifying ceasefire stands. Resolution follows US and Iranian official statements confirmed by Reuters or the AP.

• Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
• Trading: open until 31 Dec 2027; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
• Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
• Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.

Market ID 6 · Closes 31 Dec 2027 · Torus exchange