Sponsored league
Meridian Risk
War & Peace 2027
When do the wars actually end? Three calls on the conflicts that dominate the decade.
Top prize
£250
funded by Meridian Risk
Make your picks
Pick one outcome in each marketThe markets in this league
Prices are live probabilities from the demo exchange. League picks lock 31 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC.
Middle East
$7.4M vol
When will the war between Iran and the USA end?
- Jan – Mar 2027 95%
- Ceasefire by 30 Nov 2026 78%
- December 2026 74%
- +3 more outcomes
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
Russia–Ukraine
$9.9M vol
When will the war between Russia and Ukraine end?
- Not before 2028 97%
- December 2026 67%
- Jul – Dec 2027 27%
- +3 more outcomes
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
Russia–Ukraine
$4.2M vol
Will a full front-line ceasefire be in force by 31 January 2027?
54%
Yes
+32¢
24h
Closes 31 Jan 2027
Trade
League rules
- Free entry. No stake, no purchase, no payment of any kind. One entry per email address per league.
- How you win. The entrant with the most correct picks when the league's markets settle wins. Ties are broken by the earliest confirmed entry.
- Picks lock at 31 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC. Picks cannot be changed after that.
- The prize is funded and supplied by Meridian Risk. Torus administers the league and publishes the result.
- 18+. This is a free prediction game, not gambling and not a financial product. No cash-out and no real-money wagering. Play money is separate from the prize.
- Data. Email is used for entry confirmation and league updates only. Unsubscribe link in every email. See privacy.