War
Open for trading
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace treaty in 2027?
77¢
Yes
No
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
23¢ | -4¢ | |
|
No
|
77¢ | +4¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if a formal peace treaty ending the war is signed by both governments during 2027. A ceasefire, a framework document or a memorandum does not count. Verification requires confirmation from both governments and reporting by at least two major international news agencies.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 31 Dec 2027; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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- +3 more outcomes
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