Elections
Open for trading
Will the Democrats win the House by 20 or more seats?
87¢
Yes
No
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
13¢ | -37¢ | |
|
No
|
87¢ | +37¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if the Democratic Party wins at least 20 more House seats than the Republican Party in the 2026 midterms, based on certified results for all 435 districts. A gain of 20 or more against the Republican total, not just a net gain from 2024, is required.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 30 Nov 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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How many Senate seats will Democrats net gain?
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