World
Open for trading
Will the US and Iran sign a permanent peace agreement in 2026?
87¢
Yes
No
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
13¢ | +3¢ | |
|
No
|
87¢ | -3¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if a treaty or permanent peace agreement is signed by authorised representatives of both the US and Iranian governments on or before 31 December 2026. A memorandum of understanding, a ceasefire extension or a framework agreement does not count unless it explicitly and permanently ends hostilities. Signatures must be confirmed by both governments.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 31 Dec 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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