UK
Open for trading
Will the UK hold a general election before 2028?
95¢
Yes
No
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
5¢ | -29¢ | |
|
No
|
95¢ | +29¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if a UK general election polling day falls on or before 31 December 2027. The Prime Minister calling an election that is later postponed does not resolve Yes until the vote is actually held. A snap election held in 2027 counts; a scheduled 2028 or 2029 election does not.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 31 Dec 2027; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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