UK
Open for trading
Will Labour win the next UK general election?
83¢
Yes
Yes
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
83¢ | +42¢ | |
|
No
|
17¢ | -42¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if the Labour Party wins the most seats at the next UK general election and is able to form a government (alone or as the largest party in a coalition). Resolves No otherwise, including a hung parliament where another party leads the government.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 31 Dec 2028; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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