Sponsored league
The Lobby Brief
Westminster Survivor
Will Burnham last the year, will there be an early election, and who wins the next one?
Top prize
£300
funded by The Lobby Brief
Make your picks
Pick one outcome in each marketThe markets in this league
Prices are live probabilities from the demo exchange. League picks lock 31 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC.
UK politics
$3.6M vol
When will Andy Burnham be forced out as Prime Minister?
- Not before 2028 73%
- December 2026 52%
- Jan – Mar 2027 41%
- +3 more outcomes
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
UK politics
$2.7M vol
Will the UK hold a general election before 2028?
5%
Yes
-29¢
24h
Closes 31 Dec 2027
Trade
UK politics
$1.6M vol
Will Labour win the next UK general election?
83%
Yes
+42¢
24h
Closes 31 Dec 2028
Trade
League rules
- Free entry. No stake, no purchase, no payment of any kind. One entry per email address per league.
- How you win. The entrant with the most correct picks when the league's markets settle wins. Ties are broken by the earliest confirmed entry.
- Picks lock at 31 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC. Picks cannot be changed after that.
- The prize is funded and supplied by The Lobby Brief. Torus administers the league and publishes the result.
- 18+. This is a free prediction game, not gambling and not a financial product. No cash-out and no real-money wagering. Play money is separate from the prize.
- Data. Email is used for entry confirmation and league updates only. Unsubscribe link in every email. See privacy.