Elections
2 outcomes Open for trading
Which party wins control of the US House?
65¢
Leading outcome
Democratic Party
Outcomes
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Democratic Party
Needs a net gain of 3 |
65¢ | -20¢ | |
|
Republican Party
Defends a 3-seat majority |
5¢ | -6¢ |
Market rules
Resolves to the party that holds a majority of seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections, once results are certified by the relevant state authorities and the Associated Press has called 218 seats. A party that controls the chamber through a coalition or a speaker deal counts as controlling it; the party that caucuses with the majority determines the winner.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 3 Nov 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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