Sponsored league
Civic Index
The Midterms 2026 Predictor
Three calls on the House, the Senate and the seat count. Picks lock as the last polls close — 04:00 UTC on 4 November.
Top prize
£500
funded by Civic Index
Make your picks
Pick one outcome in each marketEntries for this league are closed. See open leagues →
The markets in this league
Prices are live probabilities from the demo exchange. League picks lock 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC.
US midterms
$41.4M vol
Which party wins control of the US House?
- Democratic Party 65%
- Republican Party 5%
Closes 3 Nov 2026
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US midterms
$28.5M vol
Which party controls the US Senate after the midterms?
- Republican Party 56%
- Democratic Party 46%
Closes 3 Nov 2026
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US midterms
$6.7M vol
How many Senate seats will Democrats net gain?
- +4 seats 53%
- +1 seat 49%
- 0 or fewer 28%
- +3 more outcomes
Closes 30 Nov 2026
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League rules
- Free entry. No stake, no purchase, no payment of any kind. One entry per email address per league.
- How you win. The entrant with the most correct picks when the league's markets settle wins. Ties are broken by the earliest confirmed entry.
- Picks lock at 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC. Picks cannot be changed after that.
- The prize is funded and supplied by Civic Index. Torus administers the league and publishes the result.
- 18+. This is a free prediction game, not gambling and not a financial product. No cash-out and no real-money wagering. Play money is separate from the prize.
- Data. Email is used for entry confirmation and league updates only. Unsubscribe link in every email. See privacy.