When will the war between Russia and Ukraine end?

Market rules

This market resolves to the bucket in which a comprehensive ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine takes effect and holds across the front line for at least 14 consecutive days, verified by the OSCE or UN monitors and reported by Reuters or the AP. A localised truce — such as a humanitarian corridor or a single-sector pause — does not count. The date of the first qualifying nationwide ceasefire stands even if fighting later resumes.

• Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
• Trading: open until 31 Dec 2027; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
• Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
• Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.

Market ID 10 · Closes 31 Dec 2027 · Torus exchange