War
Open for trading
Will the Oleshky humanitarian corridor still be operating on 30 November 2026?
96¢
Yes
Yes
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
96¢ | +38¢ | |
|
No
|
4¢ | -38¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if aid convoys are able to cross into Oleshky under the current local arrangement on 30 November 2026, as confirmed by Ukrainian officials or the ICRC. A single crossing that day counts. Resolves No if the arrangement has collapsed or been suspended for more than 72 hours beforehand.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 30 Nov 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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