Elections
Open for trading
Will 2026 midterm turnout exceed 2022 turnout?
50¢
Yes
No
Buy yes or no
Select a row to trade it| Outcome | Probability | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Yes
|
50¢ | +4¢ | |
|
No
|
50¢ | -4¢ |
Market rules
Resolves Yes if the total number of ballots cast in the 2026 US midterm elections exceeds the 2022 total, based on final certified state canvasses compiled by the US Elections Project or AP. Absentee ballots counted after election day count toward the total.
- Settlement: resolves to 100¢ for the winning outcome, 0¢ for the rest.
- Trading: open until 31 Dec 2026; positions can be sold back to the book at any time before then.
- Source: resolution follows the rules above, based on reporting by the listed official sources.
- Paper trading: this is a simulation for entertainment. No real money changes hands.
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